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There is a view that since the 2004 Indonesian earthquake (the Indian Ocean tsunami), there have been two or more magnitude 8 earthquakes happening almost every year in the world, and the occurrence rate is higher than the average of two years before 2004, so the Earth has entered an earthquake-prone period. . After the Wenchuan earthquake in 2010, Liu Jie, director of the China Seismological Network Center's forecasting department, said in an interview with CCTV that after the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami, the world entered an earthquake-prone period, and this active period may continue for another 10 years. Another expert believes that the active period may be longer and it will take around 2030.
And more experts disagree with this statement. According to Xinhua News Agency, Peng Zhigang, an associate professor at the Georgia Institute of Technology in the United States, said that the seismological community is still controversial as to whether the Earth has entered an active period, and no consensus has yet been reached. This view holds that the above situation may be entirely random.
The fact that humans have reliable observations of earthquakes actually began in 1900 and has only been in place for more than 100 years. For more than one hundred years, it is still too short for studying the periodicity of earthquakes. Therefore, it is too early to conclude that the earth has entered the period of seismicity.
In an interview with the Xinhua News Agency, NASA’s geophysicist Tom Parsons recommended a paper published in the “America Seismological Society Bulletin”. The conclusion of this paper is that the time of occurrence of a major earthquake is close to random. Distribution, it is difficult to draw conclusions of the active period on this basis.

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